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Market Intelligence - News - October 2014
EU sow market weakening
Friday, 31 October 2014
For the first half of the year, EU sow prices were generally above or close to last year’s level but since mid-July, prices have consistently remained below 2013 levels.
Demand in the Euro area to remain constrained
Thursday, 30 October 2014
Latest IMF forecasts suggest lower-than-expected growth for the global economy, with estimates for both 2014 and 2015 revised down. These poorer prospects are expected to affect consumer confidence and demand, with shoppers favouring cheaper meats and cuts.
Feed market update - 29 October 2014
Wednesday, 29 October 2014
Nov-14 UK feed wheat futures continued on an upward trend for the most part of last week, before closing down at £119.80/t on Friday. This week, prices have climbed again, closing at £121.40/t on Tuesday.
UK pig prices - week ended 25 October 2014
Wednesday, 29 October 2014
For the week ended 25 October, the EU-spec GB SPP fell to 151.09p per kg.
Sharp decline in US slaughter offset by higher weights
Wednesday, 29 October 2014
US pig slaughterings in the first nine months of this year were 5% lower than the same period in 2013. However, carcase weights were up 4%, so pork production was only 1% down. The supply shortages were evident in the US barrows and gilts prices, which have reached record levels but have fallen back more recently.
UK pig meat market update out now
Tuesday, 28 October 2014
The November edition of our UK pig meat market update out now
EU pig prices continue to fall
Tuesday, 28 October 2014
During the 4-week period ending 19 October, the average EU pig price fell by €15, to €142.79 per 100kg. EU pig prices usually drop at this time of the year but the fall has been particularly sharp this year.
Pork imports up in South Korea and Hong Kong
Tuesday, 28 October 2014
South Korea’s pork import market performed strongly in the first nine month of this year, as supplies to the country were up 16% on a year earlier. At, 176,000 tonnes, Hong Kong imports also rose in January to September, by 2% compared with the same period in 2013.
October Pig Market Trends out now
Tuesday, 28 October 2014
The October edition of Pig Market Trends (PMT) was published today, including articles on the UK supplies outlook, long-term retail trends, EU forecasts and foodservice.
Pig Market Trends - October 2014 (933.68KB)
UK pig meat supply growth set to be slower
Tuesday, 28 October 2014
Based on the bigger than expected fall in the UK breeding herd recorded in the June survey, UK pig meat production in the coming months may grow more slowly than previously forecast. Nevertheless, with productivity continuing to improve, latest AHDB/BPEX forecasts suggest that supplies will again be higher over the coming year.
Lack of confidence limiting UK supply growth (197.46KB)
Reduction in Chinese imports in year to date
Friday, 24 October 2014
Figures show a 2% decline in pork imports in the first nine months of this year. The EU maintained its position as the dominant supplier of pork to China, accounting for 63% of the total, while the UK's market share rose to 5%.
Booking now open for Outlook Conference
Friday, 24 October 2014
Bookings for the 2015 AHDB Outlook Conference are now open. It will be held at One Great George Street, in London, on Wednesday 11 February.
Burgers Drive Growth in Eating Out
Thursday, 23 October 2014
In the second quarter of this year, eating out at restaurants and other food outlets grew for the third quarter running, but does this really mean the end of cautious consumer spending?
UK pig prices - week ended 18 October 2014
Wednesday, 22 October 2014
The EU-spec GB SPP fell to 152.35p per kg for the week ended 18 October, down by almost 2p for the second week in a row.
Feed market update - 22 October 2014
Wednesday, 22 October 2014
Global grain prices received some support last week as the wet weather in the US grain belt hampered maize harvest progress and this filtered into the UK feed wheat futures market
USDA forecasts growth in global pork trade in 2015
Tuesday, 21 October 2014
The latest global outlook report published by the US Department of Agriculture estimates an increase of almost 2% in world pig meat production in 2014 as a whole, to 110.6 million tonnes. Global pork exports will increase by 4% in 2015, to 7.2 million tonnes.
Challenging times for EU pig producers
Tuesday, 21 October 2014
Read our latest analysis of the EU market situation and prospects for the coming months.
Challenging times for EU pig producers (261.80KB)
EU pork exports down again in August
Monday, 20 October 2014
Latest EU pork export figures for August highlight a 10% year-on-year reduction in shipments but pig offal exports rose by a similar share.
New edition of MeatStats published
Monday, 20 October 2014
MeatStats, AHDB Market Intelligence’s set of data tables covering different aspects of the UK and global meat industry has now been updated to include data up to the second quarter of 2014.
Smallest UK pig breeding herd since 2008
Thursday, 16 October 2014
Provisional UK figures from the June survey indicate a 4% year-on-year decline in the overall breeding herd, to 502,000 head, the smallest recorded since 2008. However, despite this, further productivity gains mean that feeding pig numbers were only 1% lower compared with June 2013.
September pig meat production highest since 1999
Thursday, 16 October 2014
September figures show a 4% increase in clean pig slaughterings, to 821,900 head, the highest September figure since 2001. Clean pig carcase weights reached a record high level at 81.7kg, so pig meat production was the highest September figure since 1999.
UK pig prices - week ended 11 October 2014
Wednesday, 15 October 2014
The EU-spec GB SPP resumed its downward trend, falling to 153.98p per kg for the week ended 11 October. This was almost 2p below the level a week earlier, with post-DAPP contract changes still adding volatility to the price.
Grain Market Outlook
Wednesday, 15 October 2014
AHDB/HGCA’s flagship Grain Market Outlook Conference took place in London yesterday. The conference saw the launch of a new daily publication on the cereals and oilseeds market.
Feed market update - 15 October 2014
Wednesday, 15 October 2014
Read our latest summary of developments in UK and global markets for cereals and oilseeds.
EU supplies set to be stable but prices low
Wednesday, 15 October 2014
Latest forecasts suggest that pig slaughterings across the EU are set to remain close to year earlier levels through the rest of 2014 and the first half of 2015. However, the relatively tight supply situation may not be sufficient to provide much support to prices.
UK pig meat trade slower in August
Monday, 13 October 2014
In contrast to the trends recorded earlier in the year, UK imports and exports of pig meat were both lower than a year ago in August.
EU meat production returns to growth
Monday, 13 October 2014
According to the EU Commission’s latest Short Term Outlook report, EU meat production is set to return to growth this year following two years of contraction. Further growth is expected next year, with pork output rising for the first time in four years.
EU pig meat production down in July
Friday, 10 October 2014
According to the latest figures, EU pig slaughterings in July were only marginally down compared with the same month last year. Lighter weights mean that pig meat production was down by over 1%.
Shopper needs drive long term retail change
Friday, 10 October 2014
A brief look back over the past 40 years demonstrates that the grocery market is continually evolving.
Shopper needs drive long term retail change (192.66KB)
Producer share of retail price unchanged in September
Thursday, 9 October 2014
The producer share of the final pork retail price in September was 40%, virtually unchanged from a month earlier. This was a result of retail prices falling at a similar rate to the farmgate pig price in September.
UK pig prices - week ended 4 October 2014
Wednesday, 8 October 2014
For the week ended 4 October, the EU-spec GB SPP edged up by 0.41 on a week earlier, to 155.62p per kg. This increase came despite industry reports indicating ongoing weak demand and is probably the result of changes to some contracts following the end of the DAPP last week.
Premium sausages still important despite sales fall
Wednesday, 8 October 2014
GB retail sales of sausages were down 2% (18,000 tonnes) in the year ending September 2014, according to Kantar Worldpanel. With sales of standard-tier sausages increasing by 4%, the decline has been focused on premium sausages.
Feed market update - 8 October 2014
Wednesday, 8 October 2014
UK feed wheat futures have seen upward movement over the past week and have moved back above the £110/t level.
Russia now the key export market for Brazil
Wednesday, 8 October 2014
Latest figures show an 18% year-on-year decline in Brazilian pork exports in the third quarter of 2014. However, Russia's significance to Brazilian exporters increased, taking nearly half of shipments in September. Prices have also risen sharply.
Scottish pig herd stabilising
Tuesday, 7 October 2014
According to the figures, the Scottish pig population in June was 3% higher compared with June 2013. The Scottish pig herd has declined steadily since late 1990s but in the last year, the breeding herd and feeding pig numbers rose for the first time since 2010.
Pig price reporting service changes
Tuesday, 7 October 2014
As last week’s DAPP was the last to be published, we have made some changes to how you can access pig prices in future.
EU weaner price at three year low
Monday, 6 October 2014
The EU weaner price has fallen to its lowest point for the year so far in the last week of September. At £38.96 per head, the EU average weaner price for the week ended 28 September was €11 below the start of the year and was the lowest price recorded since November 2011.
Belgian pork exports slightly down on last year
Friday, 3 October 2014
Belgium is a net exporter of pig meat and in the first half of this year the country exported, 1% lower compared with the January to June period in 2013. A 3% fall in Germany's intake was more than offset by a 19% increase in exports to Poland.
October UK pig meat market update out now
Thursday, 2 October 2014
The October edition of our UK pig meat market update out now
Feed market update - 1 October 2014
Wednesday, 1 October 2014
UK feed wheat futures are at their lowest level since July 2010, while Chicago soyabean futures are at their lowest since February 2010.
UK pig prices - week ended 27 September 2014
Wednesday, 1 October 2014
For the week ended 27 September, the GB SPP fell further to 155.21p per kg, down by almost 1p from the previous week. This confirms that the small increase last week was only temporary and the pig market remains weak.